Energy and Environment

Topics: Climate change, Energy development, Energy policy of the United Kingdom Pages: 8 (1281 words) Published: December 15, 2012
UK’s 2050 Pathways Calculator
Dr Matt Webb
Department of Energy and Climate Change
18th September 2012

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2050 Pathways Analysis in the UK
How we used 2050 Pathways Analysis in Policy Domestic Engagement and International Collaboration


We first published the 2050 Calculator in July 2010. It provides a platform for an ‘energy literate debate’


We have since developed different formats of the Calculator - appropriate for different audiences 2050 Analysis


• Educational tool • and initial engagement for members of the public

Web Tool
• Technical expert stakeholders • and well-informed public

Excel Spreadsheet
• Technical expert stakeholders • and policy-makers




The Calculator allows you to pick your own 2050 Pathway and compare it with those from others  Over 20 000 people submitted their preferred My2050 worlds to DECC  My2050 has had over 100 000 unique users (Average engagement time is 15 minutes).  Next to the 2050 Pathways from HMG, Pathways from different organisations are published on the webtool , such as: o Friends of the Earth o Campaign to Protect Rural England o National Grid o Atkins o Journalists  DECC Blog discussion between experts and the public  Excel spreadsheet used in several academic and research studies to test different assumptions 5

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2050 Pathways Analysis in the UK
How we used 2050 Pathways Analysis in Policy Domestic Engagement and International Collaboration


Climate Change Act 2008 sets out a clear legal framework for emissions reductions in the UK

 Ambitious targets to reduce emissions
 Legally binding carbon budgets and 2050 target  A clear accountability framework MRV / CCC reports to Parliament

The Climate Change Act triggered a long term low carbon strategy; culminating in the Carbon Plan (December 2011) Before DECC Government’s approach was fragmented and didn’t sufficiently recognise the interdependencies between climate change and energy policy December 2010: Cancun

December 2011: Durban

November 2009: Copenhagen

2008: Climate Change Act introduced legally binding carbon budgets and aim to reduce emissions by 80% by 2050

July 2009: Low Carbon Transition Plan; October 1st, 2nd and 3rd 2008: Carbon Budgets set DECC created

May 2010: General election PM announces intention to be ‘Greenest Government ever’

December 2011: 2011: Carbon Plan; Green Deal 4th Carbon announced; Budget set; 2050 Futures Reform or published electricity generation market

DECC’s strategy works to head off two risks:

• Catastrophic climate change
• Failure of secure, safe and affordable energy supplies for the UK 8

Carbon Budgets ensure that the UK will reduce emissions by 34% by 2020 and 50% by Carbon Budget 4


Using the 2050 Calculator, HMG published four ‘2050 Futures’ in the Carbon Plan


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2050 Pathways Analysis in the UK
How we used 2050 Pathways Analysis in Policy Domestic Engagement and International Collaboration


Domestically we are looking at refining the Pathways analysis and using it for public engagement

Refining the 2050 Calculator: • Recently incorporated costs and air quality into Calculator • Historical data will be published soon • Plans to incorporate water and biodiversity Extending the outreach: • My2050 simulation rolled out to schools and universities and public opinion testing • The My2050 schools toolkit launched in December 2011. This helps students explore individual, community and national changes needed to tackle climate change; • 2050 Picture competition with National Geographic for Kids


Internationally we are looking at outreach opportunities

Supporting other regions and countries in adopting the 2050 Calculator approach • The 2050 Calculator can be readily adapted for use by other countries. This approach is already gaining momentum and we hope to see more countries joining this...
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